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The Census and Statistics Department (C&SD) released today (April 23) the Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures for March 2007. According to the Composite CPI, overall consumer prices rose by 2.4% in March 2007 over a year earlier.
The 2.4% year-on-year increase in March 2007 was larger than the corresponding rate of 0.8% in February and 2.0% in January this year. The significantly smaller increase in February (0.8%) was attributable to the waiver of public housing rentals by the Housing Authority and Housing Society for the month of February 2007.
Netting out this special factor, the year-on-year increase in the Composite CPI in February 2007 was 3.1%, and the corresponding rate of increase for January and February 2007 taken together was 2.5%. The 2.4% increase in the Composite CPI in March 2007 was close to the 2.5% in the first two months of the year.
It is useful to look at the year-on-year rate of change for January and February taken together because the year-on-year changes in these two months were distorted by the difference in the timing of the Lunar New Year, which occurred in February this year but in January last year.
Analysed by sub-index, the year-on-year rates of increase in the CPI(A), CPI(B) and CPI(C) were 2.2%, 2.3% and 2.7% respectively in March 2007, which compared to -3.2%, +2.1% and +3.6% respectively in February. Netting out the effect of the public housing rental waiver in February 2007, the year-on-year rates of increase for the first two months of 2007 in the CPI(A), CPI(B) and CPI(C) were 2.2%, 2.5% and 3.0% respectively.
For discerning the latest trend in consumer prices, it is also useful to look at the changes in the seasonally adjusted CPIs. For the 3-month period ended March 2007, the average monthly rates of increase in the seasonally adjusted Composite CPI, CPI(A), CPI(B) and CPI(C) were all 0.2%. The corresponding rates of change for the 3-month period ended February 2007 were -0.5%, -1.6%, -0.1% and +0.3%.
Amongst the various CPI components, year-on-year increases in prices were recorded in March 2007 for food (excluding meals bought away from home) (5.2% in the Composite CPI and 5.6% in the CPI(A)), housing (4.5% in the Composite CPI and 3.9% in the CPI(A)), clothing and footwear (4.4% in the Composite CPI and 2.0% in the CPI(A)), miscellaneous goods (2.4% in the Composite CPI and 2.6% in the CPI(A)), miscellaneous services (2.2% in the Composite CPI and 1.2% in the CPI(A)) and meals bought away from home (2.0% in the Composite CPI and 1.5% in the CPI(A)).
On the other hand, year-on-year declines in prices were recorded in March 2007 for durable goods (-5.7% in the Composite CPI and -5.5% in the CPI(A)), alcoholic drinks and tobacco (-3.8% in both the Composite CPI and CPI(A)), electricity, gas and water (-1.5% in the Composite CPI and -1.7% in the CPI(A)) and transport (-0.8% in the Composite CPI and -0.3% in the CPI(A)).
In the first quarter of 2007, the Composite CPI rose by 1.7% over a year earlier, while the CPI(A), CPI(B) and CPI(C) rose by 0.3%, 2.0% and 2.9% respectively.
For the 12 months ended March 2007, the Composite CPI was on average 2.0% higher than in the preceding 12-month period. The respective increases in the CPI(A), CPI(B) and CPI(C) were 1.5%, 2.2% and 2.5%.
Commentary
A Government spokesman pointed out that consumer price inflation remained moderate in March. The distinctly faster year-on-year increase in the Composite CPI in March than in February was mainly due to the waiver of public housing rentals for February. Netting out the effect of the waiver, the rate of consumer price inflation in March was actually similar to that in the preceding two months combined.
The spokesman added that increasing price pressures from the external front are expected, given the recent weakening of the US dollar. Nevertheless, overall inflationary pressures should be cushioned to some extent by the continued distinct growth in labour productivity. Furthermore, the Budget measure of rates waiver for two quarters and other one-off factors will also help to keep the headline inflation down in the coming months.
Further information
Further details are shown in Tables 1 and 2. The rates of change in the original and the seasonally adjusted Composite CPI are presented graphically in Chart 1.
Users can download the March 2007 issue of the Monthly Report on the Consumer Price Index free of charge at the "Statistical Bookstore, Hong Kong" (www.statisticalbookstore.gov.hk) of the C&SD. Print version of this publication is available for sale at HK$49 per issue. Purchase can be done in person at the Publications Unit of the C&SD (Address: 19/F Wanchai Tower, 12 Harbour Road, Wan Chai; Tel: 2582 3025) or through mail order by returning a completed order form which can be downloaded from the C&SD's website (www.censtatd.gov.hk/products_and_services/other_services/provision_of_stat/mail_ordering_of_publications/index.jsp). Print version of this publication is also available for sale online at the Statistical Bookstore and the Government Bookstore of the Information Services Department (www.isd.gov.hk/eng/bookorder.htm). Print versions if purchased online are offered a discount, at 85% of their original prices.
For enquiries about the CPIs, please contact the Consumer Price Index Section of the C&SD at telephone no. 2805 6403 or email address cpi@censtatd.gov.hk.
Ends/Monday, April 23, 2007
Issued at HKT 16:15
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